Official Betting Thread

Want to talk sport? The Forum to discuss all sports not related to the beautiful game.

Moderators: Gnome, last.caress, Wilko1304, Rio, bristolhammerfc, the pink palermo, chalks

User avatar
Upminster Hammer
Posts: 838
Joined: Sun Apr 12, 2009 2:19 pm
Has liked: 5 likes
Total likes: 41 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Upminster Hammer »

1 out of 2 :thup: cheers for the info.

Great race the 2nd one.
User avatar
r99c
Posts: 4971
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2014 2:58 pm
Location: Essex
Has liked: 682 likes
Total likes: 392 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by r99c »

Two more value picks for tomorrow. I will summarise here and post the links to the tips I wrote where there is a full write-up on each:

12.55 Lingfield - Graceful James
Has won off this mark before and came an extremely close 2nd off this mark and C&D coming back from a long absence. Now more race-fit, he can make amends. I'm not keen on either the favourite's or 2nd favourite's chances. He also has a good draw. 5/1 is very generous.

http://www.bettingkingdom.co.uk/betting ... mes/104144" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

2.30 Lingfield - Giogiobbo
Newcomer to UK - has only raced in Italy/France prior. A bit unknown on form vs other horses but his record over this trip on AW since start of 2017 is: 1st, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 1st, 1st. The more recent three of these were for winning prizes of £15k, £23k and £23k so must be decent races. Adam Kirby being booked as the jockey also catches the eye. The favourite has good credentials but didn't go that well off a similar mark in a lower class contest. All in all, it's a punt but 8/1 in a six-runner race is way too good to ignore.

http://www.bettingkingdom.co.uk/betting ... bbo/104145" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
User avatar
r99c
Posts: 4971
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2014 2:58 pm
Location: Essex
Has liked: 682 likes
Total likes: 392 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by r99c »

These two are my own tips and selections, but I will also add Smaoineamh Alain, who races in the 3.20 Chepstow, into a little trixie with them. He is currently trading at around the 5/1 mark. I liked what I saw from a tip on twitter... Just have to get the spelling correct on the betslip tomorrow morning :D
Polaroid
Posts: 1774
Joined: Mon Mar 14, 2016 3:51 am
Has liked: 613 likes
Total likes: 219 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by Polaroid »

r99c wrote:I have a strong fancy for Mister Malarkey in the 2.50 Newbury today. Currently at 7/2.
r99c wrote: 2.05 Market Rasen tomorrow - Value at Risk 13/2].
Great tipping r99c :thup:
User avatar
r99c
Posts: 4971
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2014 2:58 pm
Location: Essex
Has liked: 682 likes
Total likes: 392 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by r99c »

11/1 about Giogiobbo now! Absurd value for a horse in a six runner race with a win record like that.
User avatar
r99c
Posts: 4971
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2014 2:58 pm
Location: Essex
Has liked: 682 likes
Total likes: 392 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by r99c »

Blah, today was a weak effort. Graceful James ran an ok race in 2nd, but unfortunately got swept up by the big-priced Shyron who looks like he might be getting back to his best. Then our hopeful punt Giogiobbo showed why he had a lack of market support despite his winning record abroad.

Onto tomorrow...

My first tip is going to be Seafarer in the 2.00 at Lingfield. He's currently 7/1, third favourite. He reopposes the even money favourite, Redicean, but this time is 9lb better off against him. Meanwhile, the second favourite has not raced since May 2018 and his last AW win was off 83, this time he's running off 89.

I feel like 7/1 is quite tasty given the large swing in the weights.

http://www.bettingkingdom.co.uk/betting ... rer/104192" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
User avatar
r99c
Posts: 4971
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2014 2:58 pm
Location: Essex
Has liked: 682 likes
Total likes: 392 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by r99c »

Us to win away at Bournemouth is good value at around 2/1. Head to head form is meaningless to me as we now have a completely different team and footballing philosophy.

We are high in confidence coming off a good December and a win against Arsenal. Our players may well have the mindset that they will want to show just how we are capable without Arnie and I expect them to put in a good spirited display. Bournemouth are going through a bad run of form and so I like us at anything over the 6/4 mark.
User avatar
bubbles1966
Posts: 66972
Joined: Sun Apr 29, 2007 10:01 pm
Location: I'm holding onto nothing, and trying to forget the rest
Has liked: 2437 likes
Total likes: 4294 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by bubbles1966 »

Personally I think we are a good bet to lose to nil at Bournemouth. They are the type of team we lose to regularly and no Arnie could be very disruptive.

Man U and Spurs are bankers; Palace are a longshot worth £2 @16-1. Beat Man City away and Liverpool have many injuries.
User avatar
davids cross
Uncle David
Posts: 27205
Joined: Wed Sep 28, 2005 10:20 pm
Has liked: 674 likes
Total likes: 1289 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by davids cross »

bubbles1966 wrote:Personally I think we are a good bet to lose to nil at Bournemouth. They are the type of team we lose to regularly and no Arnie could be very disruptive.
"Think like a big team" dude.... 8-)
User avatar
S-H
Posts: 49113
Joined: Tue Jul 06, 2010 7:05 am
Location: Kumb Inn
Has liked: 5739 likes
Total likes: 9649 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by S-H »

Had nice 7 fold footy acca come in last night, to get the weekend off to a good start.

Norwich
Bayern Munich
Porto
Benfica
Racing Genk
Braga
Vitesse

All odds on favourites.

£5 returned £127.
User avatar
r99c
Posts: 4971
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2014 2:58 pm
Location: Essex
Has liked: 682 likes
Total likes: 392 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by r99c »

Good work S-H.. all on Altior then today :wink:

My other small fancies today are 2.25 Ascot - Colonial Dreams 15/2 and 3.00 Ascot - Doitforthevillage 14/1. Both small EW fancies... tricky cards today.
User avatar
bubbles1966
Posts: 66972
Joined: Sun Apr 29, 2007 10:01 pm
Location: I'm holding onto nothing, and trying to forget the rest
Has liked: 2437 likes
Total likes: 4294 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by bubbles1966 »

Form guide for our game - Bournemouth have yet to lose to anyone outside the top 6 at home this season in 8 fixtures.

We have had 7 games against teams 7th-13th ( that little bloc we are in ) - one win, four defeats, 3/7 games end in losses to nil.

Odds should be quite long for a win. 12/5 on Betfair looks a bit stingy to me.
only1post
Posts: 2262
Joined: Tue Feb 18, 2014 11:48 am
Has liked: 4 likes
Total likes: 81 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by only1post »

Considering Cardiff.

Newcastle had extra time midweek and have lost quite a lot of games at home already this season.
User avatar
djbubbles
Posts: 1401
Joined: Thu May 20, 2010 12:14 am
Location: Westmeath Ireland. probably still in this taxi
Has liked: 166 likes
Total likes: 114 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by djbubbles »

Hull to win and BTTS @ 9/2. They are on fire.
QPR to win and BTTS @ 10/3
Portsmouth to win and BTTS @ 7/2.

Treble pays 107/1
User avatar
djbubbles
Posts: 1401
Joined: Thu May 20, 2010 12:14 am
Location: Westmeath Ireland. probably still in this taxi
Has liked: 166 likes
Total likes: 114 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by djbubbles »

Seafarer is being gambled on. 8/1 into 11/2 2nd fav
User avatar
r99c
Posts: 4971
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2014 2:58 pm
Location: Essex
Has liked: 682 likes
Total likes: 392 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by r99c »

r99c wrote:Good work S-H.. all on Altior then today :wink:

My other small fancies today are 2.25 Ascot - Colonial Dreams 15/2 and 3.00 Ascot - Doitforthevillage 14/1. Both small EW fancies... tricky cards today.
Only a neck between Redicean (8/11) and Seafarer who went off at 6/1... at least I was right to oppose the favourite, just with the wrong horse.

Colonial Dreams ran a blinder but just came up short against a solid Ballymoy, and Doitforthevillage plugged on for a solid 2nd so I'll take that!

Said the other day how Harry Cobden is riding well at the moment and he wins extremely easily though on Cyrname in the 3.00 despite the horse's mark not being changed by the handicapper for ages, kind of frustrating but we live and learn!

Football acca just for interest today is us to beat Bournemouth, Leeds to beat Stoke and draws in the New-Cardiff game and Soton-Everton games.
User avatar
r99c
Posts: 4971
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2014 2:58 pm
Location: Essex
Has liked: 682 likes
Total likes: 392 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by r99c »

Very confident with Wedding Date in the 4.50 at Wolverhampton tomorrow. Will write up my tip and edit this post later.

Market has just opened... 7/1 on Bet365 and it's an 8 runner race. Max stakes EW, you know the score

My write up below:
http://www.bettingkingdom.co.uk/betting ... -EW/104329" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
User avatar
r99c
Posts: 4971
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2014 2:58 pm
Location: Essex
Has liked: 682 likes
Total likes: 392 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by r99c »

r99c wrote:Very confident with Wedding Date in the 4.50 at Wolverhampton tomorrow. Will write up my tip and edit this post later.

Market has just opened... 7/1 on Bet365 and it's an 8 runner race. Max stakes EW, you know the score

My write up below:
http://www.bettingkingdom.co.uk/betting ... -EW/104329" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
FML - great race, SP 10/1, but gets done in a photo by the 40/1 outsider of the race. Could cry!
User avatar
djbubbles
Posts: 1401
Joined: Thu May 20, 2010 12:14 am
Location: Westmeath Ireland. probably still in this taxi
Has liked: 166 likes
Total likes: 114 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by djbubbles »

Great shout r99c. Had him e/w. Cheers
User avatar
bubbles1966
Posts: 66972
Joined: Sun Apr 29, 2007 10:01 pm
Location: I'm holding onto nothing, and trying to forget the rest
Has liked: 2437 likes
Total likes: 4294 likes

Re: Official Betting Thread

Post by bubbles1966 »

Man City are 1/8 to beat Burton - 12.5% return in 90 minutes.
Post Reply