Official Betting Thread

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Bend it like Repka on Wed May 09, 2018 1:19 pm

Inside draw is massive at Chester in sprints. Find a half decent horse in the first 4 stalls and you have a decent chance

1.50 - Lihou

3.00 - Spoof

16.35 - Last Page
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Balhamite on Wed May 09, 2018 2:04 pm

Backing nil nil draws - anyone do this or looked at the stats around this?

I have found this to be quite profitable over the last two seasons. Seems that people naturally expect goals and overall, the odds on 0-0 are slightly more generous than they should be.

Premier league and Championship games have done well for me here. Where it doesn't seem to work well is Champions League games - there always seem to be goals - maybe because the standard of forward play is higher overall, whilst the defending standard is not similarly elevated.

Interested in people's thoughts.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Hammer.CA on Wed May 09, 2018 4:30 pm

Not 0-0 draws but someone I knew used to back nearly every game on a Saturday coupon for 3-3, it used to pay about 80/1 a long time ago. If 1 game ended up 3 all he was about £20 up, 2 he was happy, 3 games or more he was ecstatic.
The odds aren't so good on that score any more.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby r99c on Wed May 09, 2018 10:20 pm

Chester tomorrow

1.50 - Powerallied
2.25 - My Lord and Master [NAP]
3.00 - Caffe Macchiato
3.35 - Idaho

Also going to put a few small EW bets on for The Players Championship @ Sawgrass - Kyle Stanley, Ian Poulter and Tiger Woods.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Centre Half on Thu May 10, 2018 9:46 am

Had the word that Ghostwatch wins the 4.35 at Chester.

They really fancy it
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby rare as rockinghorse shat on Fri May 11, 2018 9:53 am

Balhamite

I used to do quite a bit of correct score backing on the exchange, usually on 2-1/1-2 (sometimes with a small cover on under 1.5 goals and/or 3-0/0-3)

The good thing about the scorelines is that you can look to make profit during play and close off the trade if it goes to 1-1 or 2-0/0-2 with about half hour to go.

As with anything like this, it's all to do with match selection and criteria.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby r99c on Fri May 11, 2018 10:20 am

Today...

Chester 2.25 Forest Ranger
Chester 3.05 Titi Mafki
Ascot 7.05 George of Hearts

I have singles and trixie on the above

Chester 3.35 (Chester Cup)
I've gone for Fun Mac and Grandee... both each way and have done an optimistic reverse forecast too

Ascot 8.10 Highlight Reel ew
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby r99c on Fri May 11, 2018 10:13 pm

Hopefully people got on Forest Ranger! Shame he ended up being a day-saver at the start with my other selections not great but hey ho, onto the next one.

Excellent racing tomorrow and I've focused on some of the better races at Haydock (nice mixed card) and Ascot (Victoria Cup day).

Haydock 2.00 - Monbeg Theatre
Ascot 2.50 - God Given
Haydock 3.10 - Optimus Prime
Ascot 4.00 - Silent Attack
Haycok 5.25 - Rocklander

All of these are EW kind of prices (but I think they all stand a good chance), so take your fancy :scarfer:
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby r99c on Sun May 13, 2018 12:44 pm

Union Gap is welllll overpriced in the 5.15 Leopardstown, its debut. 150/1 for an unraced son of Canford Cliffs whose trainer is in excellent form? Yes please
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby r99c on Tue May 15, 2018 1:34 pm

TIFL is very interesting in the 6.50 Chepstow. Always runs better on turf than the AW, is on a good mark and he won over C&D last year on a similar mark. Silvestre de Sousa is on board - a top jockey who has an extremely good strike rate at Chepstow which stands out. He has been backed in, was 14/1 but is currently trading at 8/1
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby chelmsfordhammer91 on Tue May 15, 2018 2:08 pm

Short notice so can't post the reasoning but Detainee (Wincanton 2.20) looks decent odds although the fav in a short field
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby davids cross on Tue May 15, 2018 2:46 pm

Off for three days of racing...... :scarfer:

Newton Abbot tomorrow (think my dad took me once, 50 years ago)....I remember nothing :)

Then, two days at Newmarket ,which I haven't been to ever, I don't think.

Happy Days...:thup:
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby r99c on Tue May 15, 2018 6:55 pm

Very disappointing from Tifl - backed into 5/1 favourite but ran like an absolute donkey.

Good luck at the races DC!
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby r99c on Tue May 15, 2018 11:14 pm

The Dante Festival at York is here! Tomorrow's cards are very difficult to pick out, although the 3.30 is a comfortable NAP with Harry Angel who will win if he runs to his level.

I'm going for the following

2.20 - Contango (EW if the field remains as 8 runners)
2.55 - Gin in the Inn (win), Tomily (EW)
3.30 - Harry Angel (NAP)
4.05 - Lubinka
4.35 - Clubbable (EW)

Didn't back Harry Angel in the end, when I posted above he was 4/5 but a N/R meant he ended up being 4/9 when I got my bets on. Clubbable winning the last to save my day, got him at 14/1 but he went off at 11s :D
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Hammer.CA on Wed May 16, 2018 10:44 pm

r99c wrote:The Dante Festival at York is here! Tomorrow's cards are very difficult to pick out, although the 3.30 is a comfortable NAP with Harry Angel who will win if he runs to his level.

I'm going for the following

2.20 - Contango (EW if the field remains as 8 runners)
2.55 - Gin in the Inn (win), Tomily (EW)
3.30 - Harry Angel (NAP)
4.05 - Lubinka
4.35 - Clubbable (EW)

Didn't back Harry Angel in the end, when I posted above he was 4/5 but a N/R meant he ended up being 4/9 when I got my bets on. Clubbable winning the last to save my day, got him at 14/1 but he went off at 11s :D


Well done on Clubbable, glad you got a good price.
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Football manager bet (non whu)

Postby Adrianisournumber1 on Mon May 21, 2018 12:56 pm

I don't often get tips only had 2 and both come off but been told Andre villa-boas will be Everton new manager odds are around 16/1. Don't take it for gold as hate to be wrong but told me about Roy hodgson a few years ago to be England manager and it happened, and pellegrini last Saturday but I been away so sorry I not posted it but seems was getting out anyway.
Last edited by Adrianisournumber1 on Mon May 21, 2018 1:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Football manager bet (non whu)

Postby Ludeksgloves on Mon May 21, 2018 12:59 pm

My brain hurts after reading that.
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Re: Football manager bet (non whu)

Postby psychoscoredthelot on Mon May 21, 2018 12:59 pm

Silva odds on favourite
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Re: Football manager bet (non whu)

Postby Denzil on Mon May 21, 2018 1:06 pm

Cheers Paddy
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Adrianisournumber1 on Tue May 22, 2018 7:48 am

Now 2nd fav at 7:1 silva still 2/5
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