Official Betting Thread

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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Hammer.CA on Wed Oct 04, 2017 4:42 pm

Centre Half wrote:Nottingham 16.30

Trading Punches


I'd quite like to trade punches with the horse or jockey after that showing!
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby rare as rockinghorse shat on Wed Oct 04, 2017 9:11 pm

rare as rockinghorse shat wrote:Tranmere Rovers v Leyton Orient

Tranmere 30 or more booking points @ 11/4 (Skybet)

10pts per yellow
25pts per red



66mins - all 3 Tranmere cards in :thup:
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby twixy on Thu Oct 05, 2017 10:46 am

Sam Eggington v Mohamed Mimoune. Could be a bit of a nightmare for Sam, you can get 8s on Mohamed, I got 10's yesterday. Worth a small bet IMO.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby NottingHammer6 on Thu Oct 05, 2017 12:34 pm

England win
Norway -2

Short but solid at 0.77/1
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby hammerheadjim on Fri Oct 06, 2017 10:26 am

Belgium are around a very generous 6/4 tomorrow away at Bosnia. Lukaku being ruled out and Bosnia needing a result i'm sure has contributed to it but surely this is a given...
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby stuboy on Sun Oct 08, 2017 5:55 pm

Nice BTTS + match result 5 fold come in for me yesterday thanks to a 94th min Cheltenham winner. 7k - happy days.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby somerset-hammer on Mon Oct 09, 2017 10:55 am

stuboy wrote:Nice BTTS + match result 5 fold come in for me yesterday thanks to a 94th min Cheltenham winner. 7k - happy days.


What a beauty, congrats mate. :thup:
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Whufc06 on Mon Oct 09, 2017 7:28 pm

Wales v Ireland tonight, 4+ corners each team and each team 20+ booking pts (10pts per yellow). 11/2. Looks great value to me. SkyBet by the way.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby twixy on Mon Oct 09, 2017 8:02 pm

twixy wrote:Sam Eggington v Mohamed Mimoune. Could be a bit of a nightmare for Sam, you can get 8s on Mohamed, I got 10's yesterday. Worth a small bet IMO.


Anyone get on this :scarfer:
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby hammerdivone on Mon Oct 09, 2017 8:39 pm

Had a £5 football accy over the weekend

Belgium
Ukraine
Spain
Iceland
Austria
Wales

and ****ing Italy!! How on earth did they only manage a draw against Macedonia after leading 1-0??

£470 down the pan the bastards
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Hemel Iron on Mon Oct 09, 2017 10:40 pm

Whufc06 wrote:Wales v Ireland tonight, 4+ corners each team and each team 20+ booking pts (10pts per yellow). 11/2. Looks great value to me. SkyBet by the way.


I often think these 4 and 20 bets look value, but they rarely come in.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby rare as rockinghorse shat on Wed Oct 11, 2017 1:41 pm

4 corners are not the problem, it's the 2 cards per team which usually ruins it.

You're much safer trying to factor in a 4 corners each + 30/40 match booking pts for not a huge dip in odds.

Had a nice win last night. Picked up £90 from the evening games, primarily on a Swiss corner in the first 15mins + Lukaku scoring, then placed the lot on the following:

1. Brazil v Chile - 4 corners each half
2. Argentina v Ecuador - Arg to score 2+ goals, Arg 5+ corners, Ecu 20+ booking points

Double RequestaBet returned just over 4/1 - returned £452

Was sweating though... 8 first half corners in the Brazil match and then 3 corners in the second half. Had to wait for the 89th min for the 4th corner of the half to come in.
Up to that point I was absolutely cursing, watching the match on my phone.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby rare as rockinghorse shat on Sun Oct 15, 2017 12:46 pm

What are people fancying today?

I think a reaction from Everton is just about now on the cards.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Hammer.CA on Sun Oct 15, 2017 1:38 pm

rare as rockinghorse shat wrote:What are people fancying today?

I think a reaction from Everton is just about now on the cards.


I think Brighton are a decent price.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Johnny Byrne's Boots on Mon Oct 16, 2017 7:22 pm

Interesting article on beating the odds (New Scientist)

...............................

Then the team decided to try betting for real. They developed an online tool that would apply their odds-averaging formula to upcoming football matches. When a favourable opportunity arose, a member of the team would email Kaunitz and his wife, one of whom then placed a bet. They kept this up for five months, placing $50 bets around 30 times a week.

And they were winning. After five months the team had made a profit of $957.50 – a return of 8.5 per cent. There were some administrative costs, such as the expense of running servers to keep track of the odds in real time. But Kaunitz and his wife did get to splash out on a nice dinner in Tokyo, he says. “We were excited but it’s worth mentioning – you need to spend a lot of time to do it.”

.......................

Online bookmakers have very tight profit margins, so some offer generous odds for very short periods of time on certain matches to lure automated or expert betting systems out into the open, says economist David Forrest at the University of Liverpool, UK. “They will try to trap the robots,” he says. “Anyone who responds has their account closed.”

Some of the researchers’ accounts may have fallen foul of this system. In some cases they found they could not bet at all after signing up with certain bookies. If so, then this suggests their technique really was finding the best odds out there. But the house still always wins in the end.


As far as I can see, this is different to matched betting.
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby westhamdave1 on Tue Oct 17, 2017 1:45 am

I've been using the "only bet when you're certain" strategy over the past few days. Single bets at short odds. Had these all win ...

FK Qarabag @ 4/6

Lanus @ 11/10

Valencia @ 6/4

Inter Milan @ 23/20

Club Brugges @ EVENS

Huracan @ 9/4

The only one to let me down was Newcastle @ 4/1 to beat Southampton on Sunday.

Also, on the horses, I had 4 winners in a Lucky 15 last week (£7.50 stake paid £260) and lumped on Withhold @ 10/1 on Friday night and watched it cruise home after being backed into 5's
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby NottingHammer6 on Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:26 pm

Leicester 17:00 Hajaam win 5/2
Kempton 19:15 Spun Gold ew 4/1
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby bubbles1966 on Mon Oct 23, 2017 6:57 pm

bubbles1966 before the season started wrote:Everton 7/2 for a bottom half finish. 8-)

The odds will move after 5 games.


Nicely laid off now.

Image
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby Upminster Hammer on Thu Oct 26, 2017 10:09 am

I was a Torino goal off of 2K last night, I had a win and btts bet on;

West ham
Lazio
Chelsea
Florentina

:(
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Re: Official Betting Thread

Postby davids cross on Thu Oct 26, 2017 11:41 am

bubbles1966 wrote:Image


It's such a terrible party type smiley....... It really is. Only a Stoke fan would use it and feel comfortable.

But.....

I like it....Image
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