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Promotion permutations


Filed: Tuesday, 24th April 2012
By: Staff Writer


In order to clarify the situation with regards to this weekend's Championship's fixtures and the promotion picture...


As things stand



Southampton currently have 85 points to West Ham's 83, whilst their goal difference is currently +35 compared to United's +32. The Saints have scored 81 goals, West Ham 79.

The nPower Championship rules state that teams finishing on the same number of points - as would be the case should Southampton draw and West Ham win - will have their positions dictated by goal difference, then by goals scored, then by the results between the two teams.

As Southampton beat West Ham 1-0 at St Mary's and drew the return fixture 1-1, they would finish above West Ham in the event that the teams finish level on points, goal difference and goals scored - hence the need for West Ham to win by three clear goals AND score three more than Soton in the event of a draw at St Mary's.

So...

* Southampton will be promoted if they beat Coventry regardless of West Ham's result against Hull City. POINTS WIN.

* Southampton will be promoted regardless of their result should West Ham fail to beat Hull City. POINTS WIN.

* West Ham will be promoted should they beat Hull and Southampton lose to Coventry. POINTS WIN.

(Now this is where it gets tricky, so pay attention)

* West Ham will be promoted if Southampton draw with Coventry and West Ham beat Hull by more than three clear goals. GOAL DIFFERENCE WIN.

* West Ham will be promoted if Southampton draw with Coventry, West Ham beat Hull by three clear goals and also score three goals more than Southampton on the day. GOALS SCORED WIN.

Expect to see lots of calculators at the Boleyn Ground this weekend...





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Your Comments


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by J-Mo
04:17PM 24th Apr 2012
''Would love to see us sneak into second place this weekend but can't see it happening. Whilst we're more than capable of giving Hull a good pasting I don't see any chance of Coventry getting anything from the Southampton game. Play-offs and another showdown with Brum (possibly in the final?) await.''

by Staff Writer
02:29PM 24th Apr 2012
''@Bob: That scenario is covered by our penultimate point, not the last one.''

by Bob
02:07PM 24th Apr 2012
''In your last example, we don't need to score three more than Southampton. If they draw and we win by four, we'd be above them on goal difference. A 4-0 win will have us promoted in any situation apart from Southampton winning.''

by rugby irons
12:03PM 24th Apr 2012
''We all know that Coventry will get a 0-0 draw at Saints and we will be three up going into the 93rd minute when we let Hull score. It's the WHU way...''

by Tell it how it is Charlie!
11:58AM 24th Apr 2012
''Perhaps you should include Coventry“s away form! It doesn“t inspire much confidence. What you need in Sullivan to offer all Coventry players a £25k bonus if they go to Southampton and win or draw and West Ham win.''

by Stoyan Deckoff
11:14AM 24th Apr 2012
''To put it in other words: The easiest possible way for direct promotion to happen is 3-0 at Boleyn, 0-0 at St.Mary.

Scenarios where Coventry win at St Mary, or we beat Hull with results like 5-1 or 4-0 are more improbable. A goal for SH in SH and we have to score at least four.''

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